Atletico Grau vs UCV Moquegua preview and prediction
The match
UCV Moquegua travel to Estadio Campeones del 36 in the Primera División on Friday 29 May (21:00 WAT) to face Atletico Grau. Atletico Grau are 11th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while UCV Moquegua sit 17th on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Atletico Grau's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Cusco 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
UCV Moquegua's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Atletico Grau arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Atletico Grau and 0.7 for UCV Moquegua. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Atletico Grau 1–0 UCV Moquegua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Grau60%fair 1.66 · @1.63
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.65
UCV Moquegua16%fair 6.34 · @5.50
2.31Expected goals
1.63Atletico Grau xG
0.69UCV Moquegua xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Atletico Grau 1.6 – 0.7 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Grau to win✓
60%
1.66
1.63
Double chance
Atletico Grau or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Grau / FT Atletico Grau✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.13
–
Form
Atletico Grau – last 6
LWWLDW
23 May
@ Cusco
0–1
L
16 May
@ Universitario
1–0
W
22 Apr
vs Sporting Cristal
4–1
W
17 Apr
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ FBC Melgar
0–0
D
6 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
UCV Moquegua – last 6
LLLWWD
17 May
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–1
L
3 May
@ Alianza Lima
1–2
L
20 Apr
@ Cienciano
1–2
L
14 Apr
vs Juan Pablo II College
3–0
W
3 Apr
@ Sporting Cristal
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Sport Boys
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Grau and UCV Moquegua.
What is the prediction for Atletico Grau vs UCV Moquegua?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs UCV Moquegua?
On our numbers Atletico Grau have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and UCV Moquegua 16%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Grau vs UCV Moquegua?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Grau vs UCV Moquegua?
Our predicted score is Atletico Grau 1–0 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atletico Grau vs UCV Moquegua?
Atletico Grau vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
