Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Universitario to win @ 1.86 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversitario to win ✗63% · @1.86
Double chanceUniversitario or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.74
Sport Boys vs Universitario preview and prediction
The match
Sport Boys host Universitario in the Primera División on Tuesday 12 May, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT) at Estadio Nacional de Lima. Sport Boys are 8th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Universitario sit 3rd on 32 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Sport Boys's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Juan Pablo II College 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Universitario's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Coquimbo Unido 1–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Sport Boys and 1.8 for Universitario. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sport Boys 14%, draw 23%, Universitario 63%.
Safer route: Universitario or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Universitario to win at 1.86 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Universitario or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sport Boys 0–1 Universitario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sport Boys14%fair 7.00 · @4.40
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.30
Universitario63%fair 1.58 · @1.86
2.49Expected goals
0.71Sport Boys xG
1.78Universitario xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Sport Boys 0.7 – 1.8 Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universitario to win✗
63%
1.58
1.86 ▲
Double chance
Universitario or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Universitario ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitario / FT Universitario✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.74
–
Form
Sport Boys – last 6
DLWLLD
26 Apr
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs FBC Melgar
1–3
L
23 Mar
vs Sport Huancayo
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Sporting Cristal
0–3
L
9 Mar
@ Cienciano
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs UCV Moquegua
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Universitario – last 6
LWLWLL
8 May
@ Coquimbo Unido
1–2
L
30 Apr
vs Club Nacional
4–2
W
27 Apr
vs Alianza Atletico
1–2
L
23 Apr
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
4–1
W
19 Apr
@ FBC Melgar
1–2
L
15 Apr
vs Coquimbo Unido
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sport Boys and Universitario.
What is the prediction for Sport Boys vs Universitario?
Our pick is Universitario or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sport Boys vs Universitario?
On our numbers Sport Boys have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Universitario 63%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Boys vs Universitario?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Boys vs Universitario?
Our predicted score is Sport Boys 0–1 Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sport Boys vs Universitario?
Sport Boys vs Universitario (Primera División) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional de Lima.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
