Value bet: FC Cajamarca to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUTC Cajamarca to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11
UTC Cajamarca vs FC Cajamarca preview and prediction
The match
FC Cajamarca travel to Estadio Heroes de San Ramon in the Primera División on Friday 8 May (21:00 WAT) to face UTC Cajamarca. UTC Cajamarca are 18th with 6 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while FC Cajamarca sit 14th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
UTC Cajamarca's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to FBC Melgar 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded.
FC Cajamarca's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Cusco 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
UTC Cajamarca arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for UTC Cajamarca and 1.3 for FC Cajamarca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: UTC Cajamarca 45%, draw 21%, FC Cajamarca 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.65.
Value angle: FC Cajamarca to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: UTC Cajamarca 1–1 FC Cajamarca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UTC Cajamarca45%fair 2.23 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.45
FC Cajamarca34%fair 2.91 · @3.30
2.86Expected goals
1.55UTC Cajamarca xG
1.31FC Cajamarca xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: UTC Cajamarca 1.5 – 1.3 FC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UTC Cajamarca to win✗
45%
2.23
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UTC Cajamarca / FT UTC Cajamarca✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.11
–
Form
UTC Cajamarca – last 5
LDLDW
4 May
@ FBC Melgar
0–2
L
15 Apr
vs Sport Huancayo
2–2
D
15 Mar
@ Universitario
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ ADT
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs Cusco
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
FC Cajamarca – last 6
LLLLLL
23 Apr
@ Cusco
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–1
L
21 Mar
@ Cienciano
0–3
L
13 Mar
vs Comerciantes Unidos
3–4
L
6 Mar
@ Atletico Grau
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Universitario
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UTC Cajamarca and FC Cajamarca.
What is the prediction for UTC Cajamarca vs FC Cajamarca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win UTC Cajamarca vs FC Cajamarca?
On our numbers UTC Cajamarca have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Cajamarca 34%.
How many goals will there be in UTC Cajamarca vs FC Cajamarca?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UTC Cajamarca vs FC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is UTC Cajamarca 1–1 FC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is UTC Cajamarca vs FC Cajamarca?
UTC Cajamarca vs FC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
