Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.24
Universitario vs Alianza Atletico preview and prediction
The match
Universitario host Alianza Atletico in the Primera División on Monday 27 April, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Monumental. Universitario are 3rd with 32 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Alianza Atletico sit 7th on 28 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Universitario's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Deportivo Garcilaso 4–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alianza Atletico's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Comerciantes Unidos 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Universitario arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Universitario and 0.7 for Alianza Atletico. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 47%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Universitario 1–0 Alianza Atletico. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Universitario65%fair 1.54 · @1.31
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @4.55
Alianza Atletico16%fair 6.21 · @11.50
2.37Expected goals
1.71Universitario xG
0.66Alianza Atletico xG
47%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Universitario 1.7 – 0.7 Alianza Atletico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universitario to win✗
65%
1.54
1.31
Double chance
Universitario or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Half-time result
Universitario ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitario / FT Universitario✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.24
–
Form
Universitario – last 6
WLLDWW
23 Apr
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
4–1
W
19 Apr
@ FBC Melgar
1–2
L
15 Apr
vs Coquimbo Unido
0–2
L
8 Apr
@ Deportes Tolima
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Alianza Lima
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs UTC Cajamarca
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Alianza Atletico – last 6
LLDWDD
22 Apr
@ Comerciantes Unidos
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ America de Cali
1–2
L
8 Apr
vs Tigre
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs ADT
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Cienciano
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universitario and Alianza Atletico.
What is the prediction for Universitario vs Alianza Atletico?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Universitario vs Alianza Atletico?
On our numbers Universitario have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Alianza Atletico 16%.
How many goals will there be in Universitario vs Alianza Atletico?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universitario vs Alianza Atletico?
Our predicted score is Universitario 1–0 Alianza Atletico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Universitario vs Alianza Atletico?
Universitario vs Alianza Atletico (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
