Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCienciano to win ✓65% · @1.39
Double chanceCienciano or draw ✓86% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.14
Cienciano vs UCV Moquegua preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Cienciano take on UCV Moquegua on Monday 20 April, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Cienciano are 12th with 17 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while UCV Moquegua sit 17th on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Cienciano's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Puerto Cabello 2–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
UCV Moquegua's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Juan Pablo II College 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cienciano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Cienciano and 0.9 for UCV Moquegua. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Cienciano 2–0 UCV Moquegua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cienciano65%fair 1.55 · @1.39
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @4.80
UCV Moquegua14%fair 7.31 · @7.10
3.07Expected goals
2.15Cienciano xG
0.91UCV Moquegua xG
54%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cienciano 2.2 – 0.9 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cienciano to win✓
65%
1.55
1.39
Double chance
Cienciano or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Half-time result
Cienciano ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cienciano / FT Cienciano✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.14
–
Form
Cienciano – last 6
WDWWWW
17 Apr
vs Puerto Cabello
2–0
W
9 Apr
@ Juventud
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs ADT
3–2
W
21 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
3–0
W
16 Mar
@ Cusco
2–1
W
9 Mar
vs Sport Boys
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
UCV Moquegua – last 5
WWDWL
14 Apr
vs Juan Pablo II College
3–0
W
3 Apr
@ Sporting Cristal
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Sport Boys
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ FBC Melgar
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cienciano and UCV Moquegua.
What is the prediction for Cienciano vs UCV Moquegua?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cienciano vs UCV Moquegua?
On our numbers Cienciano have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and UCV Moquegua 14%.
How many goals will there be in Cienciano vs UCV Moquegua?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cienciano vs UCV Moquegua?
Our predicted score is Cienciano 2–0 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Cienciano vs UCV Moquegua?
Cienciano vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
