The Primera División sees Sport Boys take on FBC Melgar on Wednesday 15 April, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Miguel Grau. Sport Boys are 8th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while FBC Melgar sit 5th on 29 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sport Boys's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Sport Huancayo 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FBC Melgar's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with ADT 1–1 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Sport Boys and 1.2 for FBC Melgar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sport Boys 42%, draw 24%, FBC Melgar 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Sport Boys 1–1 FBC Melgar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sport Boys42%fair 2.39 · @2.28
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.35
FBC Melgar34%fair 2.91 · @3.00
2.54Expected goals
1.35Sport Boys xG
1.19FBC Melgar xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sport Boys 1.3 – 1.2 FBC Melgar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Boys to win✗
42%
2.39
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Boys / FT Sport Boys✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.39
–
Form
Sport Boys – last 6
WLLDLW
23 Mar
vs Sport Huancayo
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Sporting Cristal
0–3
L
9 Mar
@ Cienciano
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs UCV Moquegua
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Alianza Lima
0–1
L
14 Feb
vs Atletico Grau
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FBC Melgar – last 5
DDLLW
20 Mar
@ ADT
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Atletico Grau
0–0
D
10 Mar
@ Alianza Lima
1–3
L
27 Feb
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs UCV Moquegua
4–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sport Boys and FBC Melgar.
What is the prediction for Sport Boys vs FBC Melgar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sport Boys vs FBC Melgar?
On our numbers Sport Boys have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FBC Melgar 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Boys vs FBC Melgar?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Boys vs FBC Melgar?
Our predicted score is Sport Boys 1–1 FBC Melgar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sport Boys vs FBC Melgar?
Sport Boys vs FBC Melgar (Primera División) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Grau.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
