ADT host FBC Melgar in the Primera División on Friday 20 March, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT). ADT are 16th with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while FBC Melgar sit 5th on 29 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
ADT's last 3: LDD Most recently they lost to Juan Pablo II College 2–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
FBC Melgar's last 4: DLLW Most recently they drew with Atletico Grau 0–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for ADT and 1.3 for FBC Melgar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: ADT 35%, draw 24%, FBC Melgar 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: ADT 1–1 FBC Melgar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ADT35%fair 2.89 · @2.68
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
FBC Melgar41%fair 2.42 · @2.56
2.41Expected goals
1.14ADT xG
1.28FBC Melgar xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: ADT 1.1 – 1.3 FBC Melgar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FBC Melgar to win✗
41%
2.42
2.56 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FBC Melgar / FT FBC Melgar✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.06
–
Form
ADT – last 3
LDD
8 Mar
vs Juan Pablo II College
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Alianza Atletico
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs UTC Cajamarca
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FBC Melgar – last 4
DLLW
15 Mar
vs Atletico Grau
0–0
D
10 Mar
@ Alianza Lima
1–3
L
27 Feb
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs UCV Moquegua
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ADT and FBC Melgar.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win ADT vs FBC Melgar?
On our numbers ADT have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FBC Melgar 41%.
How many goals will there be in ADT vs FBC Melgar?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADT vs FBC Melgar?
Our predicted score is ADT 1–1 FBC Melgar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is ADT vs FBC Melgar?
ADT vs FBC Melgar (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
