Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
1
Value bet: Cusco to win @ 2.38 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCusco to win ✗45% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Cusco vs Cienciano preview and prediction
The match
Cienciano travel to Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega in the Primera División on Monday 16 March (00:00 WAT) to face Cusco. Cusco are 10th with 24 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Cienciano sit 12th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Cusco's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Deportivo Garcilaso 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Cienciano's last 4: WWDL Most recently they beat Sport Boys 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.7 for Cusco and 1.2 for Cienciano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cusco 45%, draw 24%, Cienciano 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Cusco to win at 2.38 – 45% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cusco 1–1 Cienciano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cusco45%fair 2.23 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Cienciano31%fair 3.24 · @2.80
2.86Expected goals
1.65Cusco xG
1.20Cienciano xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Cusco 1.7 – 1.2 Cienciano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Cusco
Cienciano
Attack vs Primera División average
-4%
-3%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.70
1.11
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cusco to win✗
45%
2.23
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cusco / FT Cusco✗
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.50
–
Form
Cusco – last 3
WWL
8 Mar
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1–0
W
23 Feb
vs Comerciantes Unidos
3–1
W
13 Feb
@ UTC Cajamarca
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cienciano – last 4
WWDL
9 Mar
vs Sport Boys
3–1
W
28 Feb
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
3–2
W
22 Feb
vs Alianza Atletico
1–1
D
14 Feb
@ Universitario
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cusco and Cienciano.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Cusco vs Cienciano?
On our numbers Cusco have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cienciano 31%.
How many goals will there be in Cusco vs Cienciano?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cusco vs Cienciano?
Our predicted score is Cusco 1–1 Cienciano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Cusco vs Cienciano?
Cusco vs Cienciano (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
