Value bet: Atletico Grau to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Grau to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.11
Atletico Grau vs FC Cajamarca preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Atletico Grau take on FC Cajamarca on Friday 6 March, kicking off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Campeones del 36. Atletico Grau are 11th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while FC Cajamarca sit 14th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Atletico Grau's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Comerciantes Unidos 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Atletico Grau and 0.8 for FC Cajamarca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Grau 60%, draw 20%, FC Cajamarca 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Atletico Grau to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Atletico Grau 1–0 FC Cajamarca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Grau60%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.35
FC Cajamarca20%fair 4.88 · @4.40
2.46Expected goals
1.65Atletico Grau xG
0.81FC Cajamarca xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Atletico Grau 1.7 – 0.8 FC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Grau to win✓
60%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Grau / FT Atletico Grau✓
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.11
–
Form
Atletico Grau – last 3
LLL
1 Mar
@ Comerciantes Unidos
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Sport Boys
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Cajamarca – last 2
LL
2 Mar
@ Universitario
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Sport Huancayo
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Grau and FC Cajamarca.
What is the prediction for Atletico Grau vs FC Cajamarca?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs FC Cajamarca?
On our numbers Atletico Grau have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Cajamarca 20%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Grau vs FC Cajamarca?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Grau vs FC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is Atletico Grau 1–0 FC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Atletico Grau vs FC Cajamarca?
Atletico Grau vs FC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
