Cusco vs Deportivo Garcilaso prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Cusco or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Cusco to win @ 1.90 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCusco to win ✓65% · @1.90
Double chanceCusco or draw ✓87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.16
Cusco vs Deportivo Garcilaso preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Garcilaso travel to Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega in the Primera División on Sunday 8 March (01:00 WAT) to face Cusco. Cusco are 10th with 24 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Garcilaso sit 4th on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Deportivo Garcilaso's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Alianza Atletico 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Cusco and 0.6 for Deportivo Garcilaso. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Cusco to win at 1.90 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cusco or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cusco 1–0 Deportivo Garcilaso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cusco65%fair 1.53 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.50
Deportivo Garcilaso13%fair 7.73 · @3.85
2.38Expected goals
1.76Cusco xG
0.62Deportivo Garcilaso xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Cusco 1.8 – 0.6 Deportivo Garcilaso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cusco to win✓
65%
1.53
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Cusco or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Half-time result
Cusco ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cusco / FT Cusco✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.16
–
Form
Cusco – last 2
WL
23 Feb
vs Comerciantes Unidos
3–1
W
13 Feb
@ UTC Cajamarca
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Garcilaso – last 3
LLL
4 Mar
@ Alianza Atletico
0–2
L
28 Feb
vs Cienciano
2–3
L
23 Feb
@ UCV Moquegua
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cusco and Deportivo Garcilaso.
What is the prediction for Cusco vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our pick is Cusco or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cusco vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
On our numbers Cusco have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo Garcilaso 13%.
How many goals will there be in Cusco vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cusco vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our predicted score is Cusco 1–0 Deportivo Garcilaso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cusco vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Cusco vs Deportivo Garcilaso (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
