The Primera División sees Sport Boys take on UCV Moquegua on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Miguel Grau. Sport Boys are 8th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while UCV Moquegua sit 17th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Sport Boys and 0.6 for UCV Moquegua. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sport Boys 64%, draw 24%, UCV Moquegua 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sport Boys 1–0 UCV Moquegua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sport Boys64%fair 1.57 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.50
UCV Moquegua12%fair 8.23 · @5.25
2.24Expected goals
1.67Sport Boys xG
0.58UCV Moquegua xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Sport Boys 1.7 – 0.6 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Boys to win✗
64%
1.57
1.60
Double chance
Sport Boys or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Boys / FT Sport Boys✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.66
–
Form
Sport Boys – last 2
LW
21 Feb
@ Alianza Lima
0–1
L
14 Feb
vs Atletico Grau
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
UCV Moquegua – last 2
WL
23 Feb
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ FBC Melgar
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sport Boys and UCV Moquegua.
What is the prediction for Sport Boys vs UCV Moquegua?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sport Boys vs UCV Moquegua?
On our numbers Sport Boys have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and UCV Moquegua 12%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Boys vs UCV Moquegua?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Boys vs UCV Moquegua?
Our predicted score is Sport Boys 1–0 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sport Boys vs UCV Moquegua?
Sport Boys vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Grau.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
