Value bet: Atletico Grau to win @ 3.55 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSport Boys to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.82
Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Grau travel to Estadio Miguel Grau in the Primera División on Saturday 14 February (23:30 WAT) to face Sport Boys. Sport Boys are 8th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Atletico Grau sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.0 for Sport Boys and 0.8 for Atletico Grau. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sport Boys 44%, draw 23%, Atletico Grau 33%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Atletico Grau to win at 3.55 – 33% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sport Boys 0–0 Atletico Grau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sport Boys44%fair 2.27 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Atletico Grau33%fair 3.06 · @3.55
1.73Expected goals
0.97Sport Boys xG
0.76Atletico Grau xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Sport Boys 1.0 – 0.8 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Boys to win✓
44%
2.27
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.82
–
Form
Sport Boys
No recent results on record.
Atletico Grau
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sport Boys and Atletico Grau.
What is the prediction for Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau?
On our numbers Sport Boys have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atletico Grau 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau?
Our predicted score is Sport Boys 0–0 Atletico Grau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau?
Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Grau.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
