Value bet: UTC Cajamarca to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUTC Cajamarca to win ✓38% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 9.62
UTC Cajamarca vs Cusco preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees UTC Cajamarca take on Cusco on Friday 13 February, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon. UTC Cajamarca are 18th with 6 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Cusco sit 10th on 24 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for UTC Cajamarca and 1.2 for Cusco. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: UTC Cajamarca 38%, draw 24%, Cusco 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.80.
Value angle: UTC Cajamarca to win at 3.00 – 38% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: UTC Cajamarca 1–1 Cusco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UTC Cajamarca38%fair 2.60 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
Cusco37%fair 2.68 · @2.25
2.49Expected goals
1.26UTC Cajamarca xG
1.24Cusco xG
59%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: UTC Cajamarca 1.3 – 1.2 Cusco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UTC Cajamarca to win✓
38%
2.60
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UTC Cajamarca / FT UTC Cajamarca✗
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
10%
9.62
–
Form
UTC Cajamarca
No recent results on record.
Cusco
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UTC Cajamarca and Cusco.
What is the prediction for UTC Cajamarca vs Cusco?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win UTC Cajamarca vs Cusco?
On our numbers UTC Cajamarca have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cusco 37%.
How many goals will there be in UTC Cajamarca vs Cusco?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UTC Cajamarca vs Cusco?
Our predicted score is UTC Cajamarca 1–1 Cusco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is UTC Cajamarca vs Cusco?
UTC Cajamarca vs Cusco (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
