Alianza Atletico vs Alianza Lima prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Alianza Lima or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Alianza Lima to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlianza Lima to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceAlianza Lima or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.64
Alianza Atletico vs Alianza Lima preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Alianza Atletico take on Alianza Lima on Sunday 15 February, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Campeones del 36. Alianza Atletico are 7th with 28 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Alianza Lima sit 6th on 29 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.6 for Alianza Atletico and 1.5 for Alianza Lima. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza Atletico 18%, draw 22%, Alianza Lima 60%.
Safer route: Alianza Lima or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Alianza Lima to win at 1.91 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alianza Lima or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Alianza Atletico 0–1 Alianza Lima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Atletico18%fair 5.71 · @3.90
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.10
Alianza Lima60%fair 1.66 · @1.91
2.14Expected goals
0.63Alianza Atletico xG
1.50Alianza Lima xG
48%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–213%
0–012%
1–111%
1–28%
1–07%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 0.6 – 1.5 Alianza Lima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Lima to win✗
60%
1.66
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Alianza Lima or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Lima / FT Alianza Lima✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.64
–
Form
Alianza Atletico
No recent results on record.
Alianza Lima
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Atletico and Alianza Lima.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs Alianza Lima?
Our pick is Alianza Lima or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs Alianza Lima?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alianza Lima 60%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs Alianza Lima?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs Alianza Lima?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 0–1 Alianza Lima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs Alianza Lima?
Alianza Atletico vs Alianza Lima (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
