Double chanceVélez Sársfield Res. or draw ✓86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.40
Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Tigre Res. preview and prediction
The match
Tigre Res. travel to face Vélez Sársfield Res. in the Reserve League on Wednesday 10 June (19:00 WAT). Vélez Sársfield Res. are 3rd with 33 points from 17 games (in the top four), while Tigre Res. sit 32nd on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Vélez Sársfield Res.'s last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat San Lorenzo Res. 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tigre Res.'s last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to River Plate Res. 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Vélez Sársfield Res. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Vélez Sársfield Res. and 0.6 for Tigre Res.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 49%.
Our pre-match pick was Vélez Sársfield Res. to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Vélez Sársfield Res. 1–0 Tigre Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vélez Sársfield Res.69%fair 1.45 · @1.30
Draw17%fair 5.77 · @4.20
Tigre Res.14%fair 7.20 · @8.50
2.47Expected goals
1.85Vélez Sársfield Res. xG
0.62Tigre Res. xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Vélez Sársfield Res. 1.8 – 0.6 Tigre Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vélez Sársfield Res. to win✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Double chance
Vélez Sársfield Res. or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Vélez Sársfield Res. ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vélez Sársfield Res. / FT Vélez Sársfield Res.✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.40
–
Form
Vélez Sársfield Res. – last 6
WLWDWW
4 Jun
@ San Lorenzo Res.
1–0
W
27 May
vs Instituto Res.
2–3
L
21 May
vs River Plate Res.
1–0
W
12 May
@ Racing Club Res.
1–1
D
6 May
vs Sarmiento Res.
4–0
W
29 Apr
@ Argentinos Juniors Res.
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tigre Res. – last 6
LLLLWW
2 Jun
vs River Plate Res.
0–2
L
26 May
@ Racing Club Res.
1–2
L
20 May
vs Sarmiento Res.
1–3
L
13 May
@ Argentinos Juniors Res.
0–2
L
7 May
vs Aldosivi Res.
2–1
W
28 Apr
@ Gimnasia La Plata Res.
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vélez Sársfield Res. and Tigre Res..
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Tigre Res.?
Our pick is Vélez Sársfield Res. to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Tigre Res.?
On our numbers Vélez Sársfield Res. have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Tigre Res. 14%.
How many goals will there be in Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Tigre Res.?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Tigre Res.?
Our predicted score is Vélez Sársfield Res. 1–0 Tigre Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Tigre Res.?
Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Tigre Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 10 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
