Lanús Res. vs Independiente Res. prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLanús Res. to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.38
Lanús Res. vs Independiente Res. preview and prediction
The match
Lanús Res. host Independiente Res. in the Reserve League on Tuesday 9 June, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Lanús Res. are 2nd with 36 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Independiente Res. sit 1st on 37 points (top of the table). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lanús Res.'s last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Atl. Rafaela 2 7–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game.
Independiente Res.'s last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Newell's Old Boys Res. 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for Lanús Res. and 1.5 for Independiente Res.. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 62%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lanús Res. 1–1 Independiente Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lanús Res.41%fair 2.44 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.90
Independiente Res.34%fair 2.96 · @3.00
3.16Expected goals
1.66Lanús Res. xG
1.50Independiente Res. xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Lanús Res. 1.7 – 1.5 Independiente Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lanús Res. to win✗
41%
2.44
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lanús Res. / FT Lanús Res.✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.38
–
Form
Lanús Res. – last 6
WLWLWW
4 Jun
@ Atl. Rafaela 2
7–1
W
28 May
vs Platense Res.
0–2
L
19 May
@ Quilmes 2
2–0
W
14 May
vs Estudiantes La Plata Res
1–4
L
6 May
@ Central Córdoba SdE Res.
5–1
W
29 Apr
vs San Martín San Juan Res.
6–1
W
3.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Independiente Res. – last 6
WDWLWW
2 Jun
vs Newell's Old Boys Res.
1–0
W
26 May
@ Defensa y Justicia Res.
1–1
D
19 May
vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
5–0
W
14 May
@ Huracán Res.
0–1
L
5 May
vs Ferro 2
1–0
W
30 Apr
@ Boca Juniors Res.
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lanús Res. and Independiente Res..
What is the prediction for Lanús Res. vs Independiente Res.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Lanús Res. vs Independiente Res.?
On our numbers Lanús Res. have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Independiente Res. 34%.
How many goals will there be in Lanús Res. vs Independiente Res.?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lanús Res. vs Independiente Res.?
Our predicted score is Lanús Res. 1–1 Independiente Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Lanús Res. vs Independiente Res.?
Lanús Res. vs Independiente Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
