Value bet: Newell's Old Boys Res. to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente Res. to win ✓38% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 9.60
Independiente Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res. preview and prediction
The match
The Reserve League sees Independiente Res. take on Newell's Old Boys Res. on Tuesday 2 June, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Independiente Res. are 1st with 38 points from 17 games (top of the table), while Newell's Old Boys Res. sit 20th on 20 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Independiente Res.'s last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Defensa y Justicia Res. 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Newell's Old Boys Res.'s last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Atl. Rafaela 2 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Newell's Old Boys Res. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Independiente Res. and 1.2 for Newell's Old Boys Res.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Independiente Res. 38%, draw 26%, Newell's Old Boys Res. 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Newell's Old Boys Res. to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Independiente Res. 1–1 Newell's Old Boys Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente Res.38%fair 2.63 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.80
Newell's Old Boys Res.36%fair 2.76 · @3.00
2.50Expected goals
1.27Independiente Res. xG
1.23Newell's Old Boys Res. xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Independiente Res. 1.3 – 1.2 Newell's Old Boys Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente Res. to win✓
38%
2.63
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente Res. / FT Independiente Res.✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
10%
9.60
–
Form
Independiente Res. – last 6
DWLWWL
26 May
@ Defensa y Justicia Res.
1–1
D
19 May
vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
5–0
W
14 May
@ Huracán Res.
0–1
L
5 May
vs Ferro 2
1–0
W
30 Apr
@ Boca Juniors Res.
1–0
W
22 Apr
vs Racing Club Res.
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Newell's Old Boys Res. – last 6
WDWWWD
27 May
vs Atl. Rafaela 2
3–0
W
20 May
@ Platense Res.
1–1
D
12 May
vs Quilmes 2
2–0
W
7 May
@ Estudiantes La Plata Res
2–0
W
28 Apr
vs Central Córdoba SdE Res.
1–0
W
21 Apr
@ Rosario Central Res.
3–3
D
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente Res. and Newell's Old Boys Res..
What is the prediction for Independiente Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Independiente Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?
On our numbers Independiente Res. have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Newell's Old Boys Res. 36%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?
Our predicted score is Independiente Res. 1–1 Newell's Old Boys Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Independiente Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?
Independiente Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Tuesday 2 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
