Sarmiento Res. vs Rosario Central Res. prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Rosario Central Res. or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Rosario Central Res. to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRosario Central Res. to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chanceRosario Central Res. or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Sarmiento Res. vs Rosario Central Res. preview and prediction
The match
Sarmiento Res. host Rosario Central Res. in the Reserve League on Thursday 28 May, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Sarmiento Res. are 17th with 22 points from 17 games (in the top half), while Rosario Central Res. sit 13th on 25 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sarmiento Res.'s last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Tigre Res. 3–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Rosario Central Res.'s last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Argentinos Juniors Res. 1–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Sarmiento Res. and 1.8 for Rosario Central Res.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%.
Safer route: Rosario Central Res. or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Rosario Central Res. to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rosario Central Res. or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sarmiento Res. 0–1 Rosario Central Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarmiento Res.13%fair 7.51 · @3.70
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.00
Rosario Central Res.64%fair 1.55 · @1.85
2.46Expected goals
0.67Sarmiento Res. xG
1.79Rosario Central Res. xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Res. 0.7 – 1.8 Rosario Central Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rosario Central Res. to win✓
64%
1.55
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Rosario Central Res. or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Rosario Central Res. ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rosario Central Res. / FT Rosario Central Res.✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.92
–
Form
Sarmiento Res. – last 6
WLLLWD
20 May
@ Tigre Res.
3–1
W
14 May
vs San Lorenzo Res.
1–2
L
6 May
@ Vélez Sársfield Res.
0–4
L
28 Apr
vs River Plate Res.
2–3
L
22 Apr
@ Atl. Rafaela 2
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ Racing Club Res.
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rosario Central Res. – last 6
LLDDDW
20 May
vs Argentinos Juniors Res.
1–2
L
12 May
@ Aldosivi Res.
0–1
L
6 May
vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.
0–0
D
29 Apr
@ Unión Santa Fe Res.
1–1
D
21 Apr
vs Newell's Old Boys Res.
3–3
D
14 Apr
vs Atlético Tucumán Res.
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento Res. and Rosario Central Res..
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Res. vs Rosario Central Res.?
Our pick is Rosario Central Res. or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sarmiento Res. vs Rosario Central Res.?
On our numbers Sarmiento Res. have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rosario Central Res. 64%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Res. vs Rosario Central Res.?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Res. vs Rosario Central Res.?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Res. 0–1 Rosario Central Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Res. vs Rosario Central Res.?
Sarmiento Res. vs Rosario Central Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
