Tigre Res. vs Sarmiento Res. preview and prediction
The match
Sarmiento Res. travel to face Tigre Res. in the Reserve League on Wednesday 20 May (19:00 WAT). Tigre Res. are 32nd with 15 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Sarmiento Res. sit 17th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Tigre Res.'s last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Argentinos Juniors Res. 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Sarmiento Res.'s last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to San Lorenzo Res. 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.3 for Tigre Res. and 0.8 for Sarmiento Res.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Tigre Res. 1–1 Sarmiento Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tigre Res.50%fair 2.01 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @2.90
Sarmiento Res.27%fair 3.71 · @3.50
2.12Expected goals
1.28Tigre Res. xG
0.84Sarmiento Res. xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–110%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Tigre Res. 1.3 – 0.8 Sarmiento Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigre Res. to win✗
50%
2.01
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigre Res. / FT Tigre Res.✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.09
–
Form
Tigre Res. – last 6
LWWLDD
13 May
@ Argentinos Juniors Res.
0–2
L
7 May
vs Aldosivi Res.
2–1
W
28 Apr
@ Gimnasia La Plata Res.
2–1
W
21 Apr
vs Defensa y Justicia Res.
0–1
L
14 Apr
vs Unión Santa Fe Res.
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Atlético Tucumán Res.
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sarmiento Res. – last 6
LLLWDD
14 May
vs San Lorenzo Res.
1–2
L
6 May
@ Vélez Sársfield Res.
0–4
L
28 Apr
vs River Plate Res.
2–3
L
22 Apr
@ Atl. Rafaela 2
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ Racing Club Res.
1–1
D
9 Apr
vs Instituto Res.
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigre Res. and Sarmiento Res..
What is the prediction for Tigre Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Tigre Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
On our numbers Tigre Res. have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sarmiento Res. 27%.
How many goals will there be in Tigre Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigre Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
Our predicted score is Tigre Res. 1–1 Sarmiento Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Tigre Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
Tigre Res. vs Sarmiento Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
