Atlético Tucumán Res. vs Banfield Res. prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Atlético Tucumán Res. or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Atlético Tucumán Res. to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlético Tucumán Res. to win ✗65% · @1.80
Double chanceAtlético Tucumán Res. or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.76
Atlético Tucumán Res. vs Banfield Res. preview and prediction
The match
Banfield Res. travel to face Atlético Tucumán Res. in the Reserve League on Thursday 30 April (19:00 WAT). Atlético Tucumán Res. are 24th with 19 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Banfield Res. sit 29th on 16 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Atlético Tucumán Res.'s last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Central Córdoba SdE Res. 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Banfield Res.'s last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Lanús Res. 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Banfield Res. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Atlético Tucumán Res. and 0.5 for Banfield Res.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Atlético Tucumán Res. or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Atlético Tucumán Res. to win at 1.80 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atlético Tucumán Res. or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atlético Tucumán Res. 1–0 Banfield Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Tucumán Res.65%fair 1.54 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.00
Banfield Res.15%fair 6.88 · @4.00
1.95Expected goals
1.48Atlético Tucumán Res. xG
0.47Banfield Res. xG
50%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–016%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Atlético Tucumán Res. 1.5 – 0.5 Banfield Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético Tucumán Res. to win✗
65%
1.54
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Atlético Tucumán Res. or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético Tucumán Res. / FT Atlético Tucumán Res.✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.76
–
Form
Atlético Tucumán Res. – last 6
DLDWLL
21 Apr
vs Central Córdoba SdE Res.
1–1
D
14 Apr
@ Rosario Central Res.
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Tigre Res.
2–2
D
1 Apr
@ San Lorenzo Res.
2–0
W
27 Mar
vs Vélez Sársfield Res.
0–2
L
20 Mar
@ River Plate Res.
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Banfield Res. – last 6
WWWLDL
22 Apr
vs Lanús Res.
1–0
W
15 Apr
vs Godoy Cruz Res.
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ Gimnasia Mendoza 2
2–0
W
1 Apr
vs Barracas Central Res.
0–1
L
26 Mar
@ Talleres Córdoba Res.
0–0
D
17 Mar
@ Instituto Res.
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Tucumán Res. and Banfield Res..
What is the prediction for Atlético Tucumán Res. vs Banfield Res.?
Our pick is Atlético Tucumán Res. or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atlético Tucumán Res. vs Banfield Res.?
On our numbers Atlético Tucumán Res. have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Banfield Res. 15%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Tucumán Res. vs Banfield Res.?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Tucumán Res. vs Banfield Res.?
Our predicted score is Atlético Tucumán Res. 1–0 Banfield Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Atlético Tucumán Res. vs Banfield Res.?
Atlético Tucumán Res. vs Banfield Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
