Argentinos Juniors Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res. preview and prediction
The match
The Reserve League sees Argentinos Juniors Res. take on Vélez Sársfield Res. on Wednesday 29 April, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Argentinos Juniors Res. are 33rd with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Vélez Sársfield Res. sit 3rd on 33 points (in the top four). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Argentinos Juniors Res.'s last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Platense Res. 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vélez Sársfield Res.'s last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Ferro 2 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vélez Sársfield Res. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.9 for Argentinos Juniors Res. and 1.4 for Vélez Sársfield Res.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 54%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.84, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Argentinos Juniors Res. 1–1 Vélez Sársfield Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Argentinos Juniors Res.28%fair 3.55 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.88
Vélez Sársfield Res.48%fair 2.06 · @2.15
2.30Expected goals
0.94Argentinos Juniors Res. xG
1.36Vélez Sársfield Res. xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Argentinos Juniors Res. 0.9 – 1.4 Vélez Sársfield Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vélez Sársfield Res. to win✓
48%
2.06
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vélez Sársfield Res. / FT Vélez Sársfield Res.✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.35
–
Form
Argentinos Juniors Res. – last 6
LDWWLW
23 Apr
@ Platense Res.
0–2
L
16 Apr
@ River Plate Res.
0–0
D
9 Apr
vs Racing Club Res.
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Sarmiento Res.
1–0
W
25 Mar
vs Instituto Res.
2–3
L
17 Mar
vs Aldosivi Res.
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Vélez Sársfield Res. – last 6
WWWWWW
22 Apr
@ Ferro 2
2–1
W
15 Apr
vs Aldosivi Res.
4–0
W
8 Apr
@ Gimnasia La Plata Res.
1–0
W
1 Apr
vs Unión Santa Fe Res.
4–0
W
27 Mar
@ Atlético Tucumán Res.
2–0
W
19 Mar
vs Godoy Cruz Res.
3–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentinos Juniors Res. and Vélez Sársfield Res..
What is the prediction for Argentinos Juniors Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Argentinos Juniors Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?
On our numbers Argentinos Juniors Res. have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vélez Sársfield Res. 48%.
How many goals will there be in Argentinos Juniors Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentinos Juniors Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?
Our predicted score is Argentinos Juniors Res. 1–1 Vélez Sársfield Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Argentinos Juniors Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?
Argentinos Juniors Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
