Rosario Central Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res. prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Rosario Central Res. or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Rosario Central Res. to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRosario Central Res. to win ✗64% · @1.91
Double chanceRosario Central Res. or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.73
Rosario Central Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res. preview and prediction
The match
Newell's Old Boys Res. travel to face Rosario Central Res. in the Reserve League on Tuesday 21 April (19:00 WAT). Rosario Central Res. are 13th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Newell's Old Boys Res. sit 20th on 20 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Rosario Central Res.'s last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Atlético Tucumán Res. 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Newell's Old Boys Res.'s last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to San Martín San Juan Res. 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Rosario Central Res. and 0.6 for Newell's Old Boys Res.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rosario Central Res. 64%, draw 21%, Newell's Old Boys Res. 16%.
Safer route: Rosario Central Res. or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Rosario Central Res. to win at 1.91 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rosario Central Res. or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rosario Central Res. 1–0 Newell's Old Boys Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rosario Central Res.64%fair 1.57 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.00
Newell's Old Boys Res.16%fair 6.28 · @3.70
2.22Expected goals
1.61Rosario Central Res. xG
0.61Newell's Old Boys Res. xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Rosario Central Res. 1.6 – 0.6 Newell's Old Boys Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rosario Central Res. to win✗
64%
1.57
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Rosario Central Res. or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rosario Central Res. / FT Rosario Central Res.✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.73
–
Form
Rosario Central Res. – last 6
WWWWLD
14 Apr
vs Atlético Tucumán Res.
2–1
W
7 Apr
@ Godoy Cruz Res.
3–2
W
2 Apr
vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2
1–0
W
25 Mar
@ Barracas Central Res.
3–0
W
17 Mar
vs Talleres Córdoba Res.
0–2
L
4 Mar
@ Banfield Res.
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Newell's Old Boys Res. – last 6
LWWWLW
14 Apr
@ San Martín San Juan Res.
1–2
L
8 Apr
vs Independiente Riva. Res.
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Deportivo Riestra Res.
1–0
W
25 Mar
vs Belgrano Córdoba Res.
2–0
W
18 Mar
@ Lanús Res.
0–2
L
2 Mar
vs Colón Res.
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rosario Central Res. and Newell's Old Boys Res..
What is the prediction for Rosario Central Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?
Our pick is Rosario Central Res. or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Rosario Central Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?
On our numbers Rosario Central Res. have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Newell's Old Boys Res. 16%.
How many goals will there be in Rosario Central Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rosario Central Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?
Our predicted score is Rosario Central Res. 1–0 Newell's Old Boys Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Rosario Central Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?
Rosario Central Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
