Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res. preview and prediction
The match
River Plate Res. travel to face Boca Juniors Res. in the Reserve League on Thursday 23 April (00:00 WAT). Boca Juniors Res. are 6th with 31 points from 16 games (in the top half), while River Plate Res. sit 8th on 29 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Boca Juniors Res.'s last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Atl. Rafaela 2 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
River Plate Res.'s last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Argentinos Juniors Res. 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Boca Juniors Res. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Boca Juniors Res. and 1.1 for River Plate Res.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Boca Juniors Res. 1–1 River Plate Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boca Juniors Res.46%fair 2.19 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.90
River Plate Res.31%fair 3.23 · @3.40
2.50Expected goals
1.40Boca Juniors Res. xG
1.10River Plate Res. xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Boca Juniors Res. 1.4 – 1.1 River Plate Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boca Juniors Res. to win✓
46%
2.19
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boca Juniors Res. / FT Boca Juniors Res.✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.68
–
Form
Boca Juniors Res. – last 6
DWLWWW
16 Apr
@ Atl. Rafaela 2
1–1
D
8 Apr
vs Platense Res.
2–0
W
1 Apr
@ Quilmes 2
0–1
L
26 Mar
vs Estudiantes La Plata Res
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ Central Córdoba SdE Res.
4–0
W
3 Mar
vs San Martín San Juan Res.
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
River Plate Res. – last 6
DWLDWL
16 Apr
vs Argentinos Juniors Res.
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Aldosivi Res.
2–0
W
2 Apr
vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.
0–3
L
27 Mar
@ Unión Santa Fe Res.
2–2
D
20 Mar
vs Atlético Tucumán Res.
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Godoy Cruz Res.
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boca Juniors Res. and River Plate Res..
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res.?
On our numbers Boca Juniors Res. have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and River Plate Res. 31%.
How many goals will there be in Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res.?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res.?
Our predicted score is Boca Juniors Res. 1–1 River Plate Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res.?
Boca Juniors Res. vs River Plate Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
