Value bet: Sarmiento Res. to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSarmiento Res. to win ✗38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.64
Aldosivi Res. vs Sarmiento Res. preview and prediction
The match
Sarmiento Res. travel to face Aldosivi Res. in the Reserve League on Wednesday 25 March (19:00 WAT). Aldosivi Res. are 27th with 16 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Sarmiento Res. sit 17th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Aldosivi Res.'s last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Argentinos Juniors Res. 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Sarmiento Res.'s last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Gimnasia La Plata Res. 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Aldosivi Res. and 1.3 for Sarmiento Res.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Sarmiento Res. to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Aldosivi Res. 1–1 Sarmiento Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aldosivi Res.37%fair 2.70 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.90
Sarmiento Res.38%fair 2.61 · @2.90
2.50Expected goals
1.24Aldosivi Res. xG
1.26Sarmiento Res. xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Aldosivi Res. 1.2 – 1.3 Sarmiento Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarmiento Res. to win✗
38%
2.61
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarmiento Res. / FT Sarmiento Res.✗
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.64
–
Form
Aldosivi Res. – last 3
LWL
17 Mar
@ Argentinos Juniors Res.
0–2
L
3 Mar
vs Instituto Res.
2–1
W
16 Feb
vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sarmiento Res. – last 3
WLL
17 Mar
vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.
2–0
W
2 Mar
@ Unión Santa Fe Res.
0–1
L
18 Feb
vs Atlético Tucumán Res.
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aldosivi Res. and Sarmiento Res..
What is the prediction for Aldosivi Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Aldosivi Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
On our numbers Aldosivi Res. have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sarmiento Res. 38%.
How many goals will there be in Aldosivi Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aldosivi Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
Our predicted score is Aldosivi Res. 1–1 Sarmiento Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Aldosivi Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
Aldosivi Res. vs Sarmiento Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 25 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
