Double chanceGimnasia La Plata Res. or draw ✗71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.28
Sarmiento Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res. preview and prediction
The match
The Reserve League sees Sarmiento Res. take on Gimnasia La Plata Res. on Tuesday 17 March, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Sarmiento Res. are 15th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Gimnasia La Plata Res. sit 24th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for Sarmiento Res. and 0.9 for Gimnasia La Plata Res.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Safer route: Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw (71%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw – a 71% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Sarmiento Res. 0–0 Gimnasia La Plata Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarmiento Res.29%fair 3.46 · @3.10
Draw29%fair 3.44 · @2.88
Gimnasia La Plata Res.42%fair 2.38 · @2.15
1.77Expected goals
0.84Sarmiento Res. xG
0.94Gimnasia La Plata Res. xG
44%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Res. 0.8 – 0.9 Gimnasia La Plata Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Sarmiento Res.
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
Attack vs Reserve League average
-26%
-20%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
-18%
Our expected goals here
0.82
0.78
Our own ratings from every Reserve League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia La Plata Res. to win✗
42%
2.38
2.15
Double chance
Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.28
–
Form
Sarmiento Res. – last 2
LL
2 Mar
@ Unión Santa Fe Res.
0–1
L
18 Feb
vs Atlético Tucumán Res.
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gimnasia La Plata Res. – last 2
DW
2 Mar
vs Argentinos Juniors Res.
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Aldosivi Res.
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento Res. and Gimnasia La Plata Res..
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.?
Our pick is Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sarmiento Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.?
On our numbers Sarmiento Res. have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Gimnasia La Plata Res. 42%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Res. 0–0 Gimnasia La Plata Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.?
Sarmiento Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
