Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
1
Value bet: GAS to win @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGAS to win ✓58% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · fair 1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
GAS vs Baré preview and prediction
The match
The Roraimense sees GAS take on Baré on Wednesday 18 March, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT).
Form guide
GAS's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Monte Roraima 3–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.4 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Baré's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Rio Negro RR 4–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for GAS and 1.2 for Baré. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: GAS 58%, draw 20%, Baré 22%.
Value angle: GAS to win at 1.83 – 58% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: GAS 2–1 Baré. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
GAS58%fair 1.72 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.50
Baré22%fair 4.52 · @3.50
3.31Expected goals
2.10GAS xG
1.21Baré xG
52%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: GAS 2.1 – 1.2 Baré expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GAS to win✓
58%
1.72
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
GAS ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GAS / FT GAS✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.27
–
Form
GAS – last 5
DWWLW
15 Mar
@ Monte Roraima
3–3
D
8 Mar
vs Náutico RR
4–1
W
5 Mar
@ Rio Negro RR
2–0
W
25 Feb
@ America-RN
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ Progresso
3–0
W
2.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Baré – last 3
WWL
11 Mar
@ Rio Negro RR
4–1
W
1 Mar
vs River RR
2–1
W
18 Feb
vs Madureira
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GAS and Baré.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win GAS vs Baré?
On our numbers GAS have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Baré 22%.
How many goals will there be in GAS vs Baré?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GAS vs Baré?
Our predicted score is GAS 2–1 Baré, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is GAS vs Baré?
GAS vs Baré (Roraimense) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.