Value bet: Real Cartagena to win @ 1.60 – our chance 67% vs 63% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Cartagena to win ✓67% · @1.60
Double chanceReal Cartagena or draw ✓90% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.80
Real Cartagena vs Quindio preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Real Cartagena take on Quindio on Wednesday 1 April, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT). Real Cartagena are 3rd with 4 points from 3 games (in the top four), while Quindio sit 1st on 6 points (top of the table). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Real Cartagena's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Popayan 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Quindio's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Orsomarso 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.8 for Real Cartagena and 0.5 for Quindio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Cartagena 67%, draw 23%, Quindio 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Real Cartagena to win at 1.60 – 67% on our numbers against 63% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Real Cartagena 1–0 Quindio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Cartagena67%fair 1.48 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.45
Quindio10%fair 10.36 · @5.25
2.35Expected goals
1.81Real Cartagena xG
0.54Quindio xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–016%
0–010%
3–09%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Real Cartagena 1.8 – 0.5 Quindio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Cartagena to win✓
67%
1.48
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Real Cartagena or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Real Cartagena ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Cartagena / FT Real Cartagena✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.80
–
Form
Real Cartagena – last 6
DWDDWD
27 Mar
@ Popayan
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs Union Magdalena
2–1
W
16 Mar
@ Envigado
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Internacional Palmira
2–2
D
7 Mar
vs Orsomarso
4–0
W
3 Mar
@ Tigres FC
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Quindio – last 6
DWDDWW
27 Mar
vs Orsomarso
2–2
D
20 Mar
@ Bogota FC
2–0
W
17 Mar
vs Real Soacha
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ Patriotas
0–0
D
5 Mar
@ Real Santander
2–1
W
24 Feb
@ Envigado
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Cartagena and Quindio.
What is the prediction for Real Cartagena vs Quindio?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Real Cartagena vs Quindio?
On our numbers Real Cartagena have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Quindio 10%.
How many goals will there be in Real Cartagena vs Quindio?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Cartagena vs Quindio?
Our predicted score is Real Cartagena 1–0 Quindio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Real Cartagena vs Quindio?
Real Cartagena vs Quindio (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
