Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.35
Union Magdalena vs Real Santander preview and prediction
The match
Real Santander travel to Estadio Sierra Nevada in the Primera B on Thursday 26 March (22:00 WAT) to face Union Magdalena. Union Magdalena are 3rd with 4 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Real Santander sit 9th on 20 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Union Magdalena's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Real Cartagena 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Real Santander's last 3: DLD Most recently they drew with Popayan 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Union Magdalena arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 2.0 for Union Magdalena and 0.6 for Real Santander. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Magdalena 71%, draw 20%, Real Santander 10%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Union Magdalena 1–0 Real Santander. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Magdalena71%fair 1.41 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @4.33
Real Santander10%fair 10.51 · @8.80
2.52Expected goals
1.96Union Magdalena xG
0.56Real Santander xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Union Magdalena 2.0 – 0.6 Real Santander expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Magdalena to win✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Double chance
Union Magdalena or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.35
Half-time result
Union Magdalena ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena✓
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.35
–
Form
Union Magdalena – last 5
LWDWW
23 Mar
@ Real Cartagena
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Patriotas
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs Real Soacha
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Barranquilla
3–1
W
24 Feb
vs Tigres FC
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Real Santander – last 3
DLD
10 Mar
vs Popayan
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Quindio
1–2
L
24 Feb
@ Ind. Yumbo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Magdalena and Real Santander.
What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Real Santander?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Union Magdalena vs Real Santander?
On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Real Santander 10%.
How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Real Santander?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Real Santander?
Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 1–0 Real Santander, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Union Magdalena vs Real Santander?
Union Magdalena vs Real Santander (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
