Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEnvigado to win ✗67% · @1.40
Double chanceEnvigado or draw ✗91% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.12
Envigado vs Bogota FC preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Envigado take on Bogota FC on Wednesday 25 March, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur. Envigado are 1st with 7 points from 4 games (top of the table), while Bogota FC sit 10th on 18 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Envigado's last 4: DWWL Most recently they drew with Real Cartagena 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bogota FC's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Quindio 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Envigado and 0.5 for Bogota FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 58% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Envigado 67%, draw 24%, Bogota FC 9%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Envigado 1–0 Bogota FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Envigado67%fair 1.48 · @1.40
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.95
Bogota FC9%fair 11.11 · @7.40
2.16Expected goals
1.70Envigado xG
0.46Bogota FC xG
47%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–017%
0–011%
3–09%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Envigado 1.7 – 0.5 Bogota FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Envigado to win✗
67%
1.48
1.40
Double chance
Envigado or draw✗
91%
1.10
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Half-time result
Envigado ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Envigado / FT Envigado✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.12
–
Form
Envigado – last 4
DWWL
16 Mar
vs Real Cartagena
1–1
D
11 Mar
@ Leones FC
3–0
W
5 Mar
vs Popayan
1–0
W
24 Feb
vs Quindio
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bogota FC – last 6
LDLDWW
20 Mar
vs Quindio
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Barranquilla
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Tigres FC
0–1
L
5 Mar
@ Ind. Yumbo
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Depor FC
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Popayan
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Envigado and Bogota FC.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Envigado vs Bogota FC?
On our numbers Envigado have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bogota FC 9%.
How many goals will there be in Envigado vs Bogota FC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Envigado vs Bogota FC?
Our predicted score is Envigado 1–0 Bogota FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Envigado vs Bogota FC?
Envigado vs Bogota FC (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 25 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
