Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultQuindio to win ✗49% · @1.85
Double chanceQuindio or draw ✓77% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.25
Quindio vs Real Soacha preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Quindio take on Real Soacha on Tuesday 17 March, kicking off at 02:20 (WAT) at Estadio Centenario. Quindio are 1st with 6 points from 3 games (top of the table), while Real Soacha sit 4th on 1 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Quindio's last 4: DWWW Most recently they drew with Patriotas 0–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Soacha's last 3: DDW Most recently they drew with Union Magdalena 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Quindio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Quindio and 0.8 for Real Soacha. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Quindio 49%, draw 28%, Real Soacha 23%.
Safer route: Quindio or draw (77%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Quindio 1–0 Real Soacha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Quindio49%fair 2.05 · @1.85
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @3.10
Real Soacha23%fair 4.37 · @4.10
1.95Expected goals
1.13Quindio xG
0.83Real Soacha xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Quindio 1.1 – 0.8 Real Soacha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Quindio
Real Soacha
Attack vs Primera B average
+5%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
-23%
Our expected goals here
0.94
0.84
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Quindio to win✗
49%
2.05
1.85
Double chance
Quindio or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Quindio / FT Quindio✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.25
–
Form
Quindio – last 4
DWWW
12 Mar
@ Patriotas
0–0
D
5 Mar
@ Real Santander
2–1
W
24 Feb
@ Envigado
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Barranquilla
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Real Soacha – last 3
DDW
11 Mar
@ Union Magdalena
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Internacional Palmira
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Orsomarso
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Quindio and Real Soacha.
What is the prediction for Quindio vs Real Soacha?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Quindio vs Real Soacha?
On our numbers Quindio have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Real Soacha 23%.
How many goals will there be in Quindio vs Real Soacha?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Quindio vs Real Soacha?
Our predicted score is Quindio 1–0 Real Soacha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Quindio vs Real Soacha?
Quindio vs Real Soacha (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 02:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
