Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Popayan to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Santander to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.89
Real Santander vs Popayan preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Real Santander take on Popayan on Tuesday 10 March, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Villa Concha. Real Santander are 9th with 20 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Popayan sit 2nd on 7 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Popayan's last 4: LLLD Most recently they lost to Envigado 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Real Santander and 1.0 for Popayan. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Santander 41%, draw 26%, Popayan 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Popayan to win at 3.20 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Real Santander 1–1 Popayan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Santander41%fair 2.45 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.92
Popayan33%fair 2.99 · @3.20
2.17Expected goals
1.16Real Santander xG
1.01Popayan xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Real Santander 1.2 – 1.0 Popayan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Santander to win✗
41%
2.45
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.34
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Santander / FT Real Santander✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.89
–
Form
Real Santander – last 2
LD
5 Mar
vs Quindio
1–2
L
24 Feb
@ Ind. Yumbo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Popayan – last 4
LLLD
5 Mar
@ Envigado
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Barranquilla
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Bogota FC
1–2
L
18 Feb
vs Orsomarso
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Santander and Popayan.
What is the prediction for Real Santander vs Popayan?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Real Santander vs Popayan?
On our numbers Real Santander have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Popayan 33%.
How many goals will there be in Real Santander vs Popayan?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Santander vs Popayan?
Our predicted score is Real Santander 1–1 Popayan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Real Santander vs Popayan?
Real Santander vs Popayan (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Villa Concha.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
