Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena preview and prediction
The match
Barranquilla host Union Magdalena in the Primera B on Wednesday 4 March, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Romelio Martinez. Barranquilla are 15th with 14 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Union Magdalena sit 3rd on 4 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Barranquilla and 1.3 for Union Magdalena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barranquilla 29%, draw 25%, Union Magdalena 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Barranquilla 1–1 Union Magdalena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barranquilla29%fair 3.42 · @3.30
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.20
Union Magdalena45%fair 2.21 · @2.05
2.39Expected goals
1.06Barranquilla xG
1.33Union Magdalena xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Barranquilla 1.1 – 1.3 Union Magdalena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Barranquilla
Union Magdalena
Attack vs Primera B average
+4%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
+19%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.09
1.28
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Magdalena to win✓
45%
2.21
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena✓
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.24
–
Form
Barranquilla – last 2
WL
26 Feb
@ Popayan
2–0
W
17 Feb
@ Quindio
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Union Magdalena – last 1
W
24 Feb
vs Tigres FC
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barranquilla and Union Magdalena.
What is the prediction for Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena?
On our numbers Barranquilla have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Union Magdalena 45%.
How many goals will there be in Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena?
Our predicted score is Barranquilla 1–1 Union Magdalena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena?
Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romelio Martinez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
