Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Cartagena to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.08
Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena preview and prediction
The match
Tigres FC host Real Cartagena in the Primera B on Tuesday 3 March, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. Tigres FC are 2nd with 5 points from 3 games (in the top four), while Real Cartagena sit 3rd on 5 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Tigres FC and 1.0 for Real Cartagena. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tigres FC 31%, draw 28%, Real Cartagena 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 54% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Tigres FC 1–1 Real Cartagena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tigres FC31%fair 3.22 · @3.35
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.90
Real Cartagena41%fair 2.42 · @2.20
2.12Expected goals
1.09Tigres FC xG
1.03Real Cartagena xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Tigres FC 1.1 – 1.0 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Tigres FC
Real Cartagena
Attack vs Primera B average
-7%
+42%
Goals conceded vs average
-37%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.17
0.87
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Cartagena to win✗
41%
2.42
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigres FC / FT Tigres FC✗
20%
4.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.08
–
Form
Tigres FC – last 2
LL
24 Feb
@ Union Magdalena
1–3
L
16 Feb
vs Ind. Yumbo
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Real Cartagena – last 1
L
21 Feb
vs Leones FC
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigres FC and Real Cartagena.
What is the prediction for Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena?
On our numbers Tigres FC have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Real Cartagena 41%.
How many goals will there be in Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena?
Our predicted score is Tigres FC 1–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena?
Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
