Popayan host Barranquilla in the Primera B on Thursday 26 February, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT). Popayan are 2nd with 7 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Barranquilla sit 15th on 14 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.5 for Popayan and 1.0 for Barranquilla. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Popayan 1–1 Barranquilla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Popayan52%fair 1.94 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.20
Barranquilla24%fair 4.13 · @4.33
2.48Expected goals
1.46Popayan xG
1.02Barranquilla xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Popayan 1.5 – 1.0 Barranquilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Popayan
Barranquilla
Attack vs Primera B average
+8%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
+19%
Our expected goals here
1.48
1.17
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Popayan to win✗
52%
1.94
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Popayan / FT Popayan✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.19
–
Form
Popayan – last 2
LD
22 Feb
@ Bogota FC
1–2
L
18 Feb
vs Orsomarso
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Barranquilla – last 1
L
17 Feb
@ Quindio
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Popayan and Barranquilla.
What is the prediction for Popayan vs Barranquilla?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Popayan vs Barranquilla?
On our numbers Popayan have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Barranquilla 24%.
How many goals will there be in Popayan vs Barranquilla?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Popayan vs Barranquilla?
Our predicted score is Popayan 1–1 Barranquilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Popayan vs Barranquilla?
Popayan vs Barranquilla (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
