Union Magdalena vs Tigres FC prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✓55% · @1.50
Double chanceUnion Magdalena or draw ✓83% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.80
Union Magdalena vs Tigres FC preview and prediction
The match
Union Magdalena host Tigres FC in the Primera B on Tuesday 24 February, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Sierra Nevada. Union Magdalena are 3rd with 4 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Tigres FC sit 2nd on 5 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Union Magdalena and 0.8 for Tigres FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Magdalena 55%, draw 28%, Tigres FC 17%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.70 – 63% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Union Magdalena 1–0 Tigres FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Magdalena55%fair 1.82 · @1.50
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @3.65
Tigres FC17%fair 5.88 · @6.50
1.86Expected goals
1.11Union Magdalena xG
0.75Tigres FC xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–016%
1–113%
0–112%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Union Magdalena 1.1 – 0.8 Tigres FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Union Magdalena
Tigres FC
Attack vs Primera B average
+11%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
-37%
Our expected goals here
0.81
0.81
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Magdalena to win✓
55%
1.82
1.50
Double chance
Union Magdalena or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.80
–
Form
Union Magdalena
No recent results on record.
Tigres FC – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs Ind. Yumbo
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Magdalena and Tigres FC.
What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Tigres FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Union Magdalena vs Tigres FC?
On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Tigres FC 17%.
How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Tigres FC?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Tigres FC?
Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 1–0 Tigres FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Union Magdalena vs Tigres FC?
Union Magdalena vs Tigres FC (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
