Barranquilla vs Real Santander prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Barranquilla or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Barranquilla to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarranquilla to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceBarranquilla or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.01
Barranquilla vs Real Santander preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Barranquilla take on Real Santander on Wednesday 8 April, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Romelio Martinez. Barranquilla are 15th with 14 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Real Santander sit 9th on 20 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Barranquilla's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Tigres FC 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Real Santander's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Envigado 1–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Barranquilla arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Barranquilla and 0.7 for Real Santander. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barranquilla 63%, draw 23%, Real Santander 14%.
Safer route: Barranquilla or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Barranquilla to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Barranquilla or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Barranquilla 1–0 Real Santander. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barranquilla63%fair 1.59 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.30
Real Santander14%fair 7.31 · @3.45
2.55Expected goals
1.82Barranquilla xG
0.73Real Santander xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Barranquilla 1.8 – 0.7 Real Santander expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barranquilla to win✓
63%
1.59
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Barranquilla or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Barranquilla ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barranquilla / FT Barranquilla✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.01
–
Form
Barranquilla – last 6
LWDLLW
31 Mar
@ Tigres FC
1–3
L
25 Mar
vs Leones FC
3–0
W
16 Mar
vs Bogota FC
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Ind. Yumbo
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Union Magdalena
1–3
L
26 Feb
@ Popayan
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Real Santander – last 5
LLDLD
31 Mar
vs Envigado
1–3
L
26 Mar
@ Union Magdalena
0–2
L
10 Mar
vs Popayan
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Quindio
1–2
L
24 Feb
@ Ind. Yumbo
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barranquilla and Real Santander.
What is the prediction for Barranquilla vs Real Santander?
Our pick is Barranquilla or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Barranquilla vs Real Santander?
On our numbers Barranquilla have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Santander 14%.
How many goals will there be in Barranquilla vs Real Santander?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barranquilla vs Real Santander?
Our predicted score is Barranquilla 1–0 Real Santander, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Barranquilla vs Real Santander?
Barranquilla vs Real Santander (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romelio Martinez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.