Value bet: Antofagasta to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAntofagasta to win45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win78% · fair 1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.95
Magallanes vs Antofagasta preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Magallanes take on Antofagasta on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Santiago Bueras. Magallanes are 5th with 46 points from 29 games (in the top half), while Antofagasta sit 4th on 48 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Magallanes's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Deportes Iquique 1–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Antofagasta's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Universidad de Chile 0–4 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 June 2026, finished Antofagasta 0–0 Magallanes.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Magallanes and 1.5 for Antofagasta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Antofagasta to win at 2.50 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our prediction: Either team to win – a 78% chance. Predicted score: Magallanes 0–1 Antofagasta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Magallanes33%fair 3.03 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.35
Antofagasta45%fair 2.23 · @2.50
2.77Expected goals
1.23Magallanes xG
1.54Antofagasta xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Magallanes 1.2 – 1.5 Antofagasta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Magallanes
Antofagasta
Attack vs Primera B average
+14%
+34%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
-31%
Our expected goals here
1.18
1.52
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Magallanes vs Antofagasta?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 78% chance.
Who will win Magallanes vs Antofagasta?
On our numbers Magallanes have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Antofagasta 45%.
How many goals will there be in Magallanes vs Antofagasta?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Magallanes vs Antofagasta?
Our predicted score is Magallanes 0–1 Antofagasta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Magallanes vs Antofagasta?
Magallanes vs Antofagasta (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santiago Bueras.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
