San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
San Marcos de Arica to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Marcos de Arica to win ✗60% · @1.67
Double chanceSan Marcos de Arica or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.00
San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt preview and prediction
The match
San Marcos de Arica host D. Puerto Montt in the Primera B on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn. San Marcos de Arica are 6th with 43 points from 29 games (in the top half), while D. Puerto Montt sit 11th on 38 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
San Marcos de Arica's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Antofagasta 0–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
D. Puerto Montt's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to San Luis 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
San Marcos de Arica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished D. Puerto Montt 0–2 San Marcos de Arica.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for San Marcos de Arica and 0.7 for D. Puerto Montt. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Marcos de Arica 60%, draw 24%, D. Puerto Montt 17%.
Safer route: San Marcos de Arica or draw (83%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was San Marcos de Arica to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: San Marcos de Arica 1–0 D. Puerto Montt. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Marcos de Arica60%fair 1.68 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.25
D. Puerto Montt17%fair 5.96 · @5.00
2.24Expected goals
1.56San Marcos de Arica xG
0.68D. Puerto Montt xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: San Marcos de Arica 1.6 – 0.7 D. Puerto Montt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt?
Our pick is San Marcos de Arica to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt?
On our numbers San Marcos de Arica have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and D. Puerto Montt 17%.
How many goals will there be in San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt?
Our predicted score is San Marcos de Arica 1–0 D. Puerto Montt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt?
San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
