Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCobreloa to win ✓58% · @1.73
Double chanceCobreloa or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.72
Cobreloa vs Recoleta preview and prediction
The match
Cobreloa host Recoleta in the Primera B on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Zorros del Desierto. Cobreloa are 1st with 54 points from 29 games (top of the table), while Recoleta sit 7th on 42 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cobreloa's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Deportes Copiapo 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Recoleta's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Magallanes 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Recoleta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 May 2026, finished Recoleta 2–2 Cobreloa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Cobreloa and 0.9 for Recoleta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 56%.
Our pre-match pick was Cobreloa or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Cobreloa 1–0 Recoleta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cobreloa58%fair 1.72 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.40
Recoleta20%fair 5.02 · @4.20
2.76Expected goals
1.81Cobreloa xG
0.95Recoleta xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Cobreloa 1.8 – 0.9 Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Cobreloa or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cobreloa vs Recoleta?
On our numbers Cobreloa have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Recoleta 20%.
How many goals will there be in Cobreloa vs Recoleta?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cobreloa vs Recoleta?
Our predicted score is Cobreloa 1–0 Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cobreloa vs Recoleta?
Cobreloa vs Recoleta (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Zorros del Desierto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.