Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: San Luis to win @ 2.30 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Luis to win ✓46% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.65
D. Puerto Montt vs San Luis preview and prediction
The match
San Luis travel to Estadio Regional de Chinquihue in the Primera B on Monday 12 October (16:30 WAT) to face D. Puerto Montt. D. Puerto Montt are 11th with 38 points from 29 games (in the bottom half), while San Luis sit 2nd on 54 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
D. Puerto Montt's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Colo Colo 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
San Luis's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Union Espanola 2–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Luis arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished San Luis 4–1 D. Puerto Montt.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for D. Puerto Montt and 1.4 for San Luis. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: D. Puerto Montt 31%, draw 22%, San Luis 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Value angle: San Luis to win at 2.30 – 46% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: D. Puerto Montt 1–1 San Luis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
D. Puerto Montt31%fair 3.20 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
San Luis46%fair 2.16 · @2.30
2.50Expected goals
1.09D. Puerto Montt xG
1.41San Luis xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: D. Puerto Montt 1.1 – 1.4 San Luis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for D. Puerto Montt vs San Luis?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win D. Puerto Montt vs San Luis?
On our numbers D. Puerto Montt have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Luis 46%.
How many goals will there be in D. Puerto Montt vs San Luis?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for D. Puerto Montt vs San Luis?
Our predicted score is D. Puerto Montt 1–1 San Luis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is D. Puerto Montt vs San Luis?
D. Puerto Montt vs San Luis (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Regional de Chinquihue.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
