Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Recoleta to win @ 3.10 – our chance 41% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRecoleta to win ✗41% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta preview and prediction
The match
Recoleta travel to face Deportes Santa Cruz in the Primera B on Monday 14 September (22:00 WAT). Deportes Santa Cruz are 14th with 24 points from 29 games (in the bottom three), while Recoleta sit 7th on 42 points (in the top half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Deportes Santa Cruz's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Deportes Iquique 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Recoleta's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat San Marcos de Arica 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Recoleta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Deportes Santa Cruz and 1.5 for Recoleta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportes Santa Cruz 35%, draw 24%, Recoleta 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Recoleta to win at 3.10 – 41% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Deportes Santa Cruz 1–1 Recoleta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportes Santa Cruz35%fair 2.89 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Recoleta41%fair 2.44 · @3.10
2.77Expected goals
1.32Deportes Santa Cruz xG
1.45Recoleta xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Deportes Santa Cruz 1.3 – 1.5 Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Recoleta to win✗
41%
2.44
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Recoleta / FT Recoleta✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.97
–
Form
Deportes Santa Cruz – last 6
WDDLLW
10 Sep
@ Deportes Iquique
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Union Espanola
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Union San Felipe
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Magallanes
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs San Luis
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ Curico Unido
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Recoleta – last 6
WWDLWD
9 Sep
vs San Marcos de Arica
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Antofagasta
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Curico Unido
0–0
D
27 Aug
vs O'Higgins
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Deportes Copiapo
2–1
W
18 Aug
@ Deportes Temuco
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Santa Cruz and Recoleta.
What is the prediction for Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta?
On our numbers Deportes Santa Cruz have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Recoleta 41%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta?
Our predicted score is Deportes Santa Cruz 1–1 Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta?
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
