Value bet: San Luis to win @ 2.25 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Luis to win ✓49% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.64
Union San Felipe vs San Luis preview and prediction
The match
San Luis travel to Estadio Municipal de San Felipe in the Primera B on Wednesday 30 September (22:00 WAT) to face Union San Felipe. Union San Felipe are 15th with 23 points from 29 games (in the bottom three), while San Luis sit 2nd on 54 points (in the top four). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Union San Felipe's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Deportes Copiapo 1–4 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Luis's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Antofagasta 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
San Luis arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 May 2026, finished San Luis 4–0 Union San Felipe.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Union San Felipe and 1.5 for San Luis. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union San Felipe 27%, draw 24%, San Luis 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: San Luis to win at 2.25 – 49% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Union San Felipe 1–1 San Luis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union San Felipe27%fair 3.68 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.90
San Luis49%fair 2.03 · @2.25
2.58Expected goals
1.05Union San Felipe xG
1.53San Luis xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Union San Felipe 1.1 – 1.5 San Luis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Union San Felipe vs San Luis?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Union San Felipe vs San Luis?
On our numbers Union San Felipe have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and San Luis 49%.
How many goals will there be in Union San Felipe vs San Luis?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union San Felipe vs San Luis?
Our predicted score is Union San Felipe 1–1 San Luis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Union San Felipe vs San Luis?
Union San Felipe vs San Luis (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
