Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Recoleta take on San Marcos de Arica on Wednesday 9 September, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT). Recoleta are 7th with 42 points from 29 games (in the top half), while San Marcos de Arica sit 6th on 43 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Recoleta's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Antofagasta 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
San Marcos de Arica's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Deportes Copiapo 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Recoleta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 May 2026, finished San Marcos de Arica 1–0 Recoleta.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Recoleta and 1.2 for San Marcos de Arica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Recoleta 39%, draw 24%, San Marcos de Arica 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Recoleta 1–1 San Marcos de Arica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Recoleta39%fair 2.54 · @2.33
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
San Marcos de Arica37%fair 2.73 · @2.85
2.45Expected goals
1.25Recoleta xG
1.20San Marcos de Arica xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Recoleta 1.3 – 1.2 San Marcos de Arica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica?
On our numbers Recoleta have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and San Marcos de Arica 37%.
How many goals will there be in Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our predicted score is Recoleta 1–1 San Marcos de Arica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica?
Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
