Value bet: Magallanes to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportes Copiapo to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.29
Deportes Copiapo vs Magallanes preview and prediction
The match
Deportes Copiapo host Magallanes in the Primera B on Thursday 10 September, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla. Deportes Copiapo are 8th with 41 points from 29 games (in the top half), while Magallanes sit 5th on 46 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Deportes Copiapo's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to San Marcos de Arica 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Magallanes's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Union San Felipe 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Magallanes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Deportes Copiapo and 1.4 for Magallanes. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Magallanes to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Deportes Copiapo 1–1 Magallanes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportes Copiapo42%fair 2.36 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.40
Magallanes35%fair 2.87 · @3.10
2.95Expected goals
1.56Deportes Copiapo xG
1.39Magallanes xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Deportes Copiapo 1.6 – 1.4 Magallanes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportes Copiapo to win✗
42%
2.36
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportes Copiapo / FT Deportes Copiapo✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.29
–
Form
Deportes Copiapo – last 6
LLLWLD
6 Sep
@ San Marcos de Arica
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Antofagasta
0–4
L
22 Aug
@ Recoleta
1–2
L
17 Aug
vs Curico Unido
4–0
W
14 Aug
@ Deportes Iquique
0–4
L
9 Aug
vs San Luis
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Magallanes – last 6
DLWWDW
5 Sep
vs Union San Felipe
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Santiago Wanderers
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Rangers de Talca
3–2
W
12 Aug
vs Cobreloa
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ Deportes Temuco
4–3
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Copiapo and Magallanes.
What is the prediction for Deportes Copiapo vs Magallanes?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportes Copiapo vs Magallanes?
On our numbers Deportes Copiapo have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Magallanes 35%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Copiapo vs Magallanes?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Copiapo vs Magallanes?
Our predicted score is Deportes Copiapo 1–1 Magallanes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Deportes Copiapo vs Magallanes?
Deportes Copiapo vs Magallanes (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
