Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.21Odds
1
Value bet: Antofagasta to win @ 1.94 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAntofagasta to win ✗63% · @1.94
Double chanceAntofagasta or draw ✓83% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.75
Antofagasta vs Cobreloa preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Antofagasta take on Cobreloa on Friday 11 September, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Regional de Antofagasta. Antofagasta are 4th with 48 points from 29 games (in the top four), while Cobreloa sit 1st on 54 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Antofagasta's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Recoleta 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cobreloa's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to San Luis 2–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Antofagasta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Antofagasta and 0.9 for Cobreloa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Antofagasta to win at 1.94 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Antofagasta or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Antofagasta 1–0 Cobreloa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Antofagasta63%fair 1.58 · @1.94
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.30
Cobreloa17%fair 5.89 · @3.35
2.84Expected goals
1.96Antofagasta xG
0.88Cobreloa xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Antofagasta 2.0 – 0.9 Cobreloa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Antofagasta to win✗
63%
1.58
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Antofagasta or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.63
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.34
Half-time result
Antofagasta ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Antofagasta / FT Antofagasta✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.75
–
Form
Antofagasta – last 6
LWWDDW
6 Sep
vs Recoleta
1–2
L
30 Aug
@ Deportes Copiapo
4–0
W
23 Aug
vs Deportes Temuco
3–1
W
17 Aug
@ Deportes Iquique
1–1
D
13 Aug
vs Santiago Wanderers
0–0
D
7 Aug
@ Union Espanola
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cobreloa – last 6
LWLWDD
5 Sep
@ San Luis
2–4
L
1 Sep
vs San Marcos de Arica
2–0
W
22 Aug
vs Union Espanola
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Union San Felipe
1–0
W
12 Aug
@ Magallanes
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Deportes Iquique
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Antofagasta and Cobreloa.
What is the prediction for Antofagasta vs Cobreloa?
Our pick is Antofagasta or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Antofagasta vs Cobreloa?
On our numbers Antofagasta have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cobreloa 17%.
How many goals will there be in Antofagasta vs Cobreloa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antofagasta vs Cobreloa?
Our predicted score is Antofagasta 1–0 Cobreloa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Antofagasta vs Cobreloa?
Antofagasta vs Cobreloa (Primera B) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Regional de Antofagasta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
