San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Copiapo prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
San Marcos de Arica or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: San Marcos de Arica to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Marcos de Arica to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceSan Marcos de Arica or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.22
San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Copiapo preview and prediction
The match
San Marcos de Arica host Deportes Copiapo in the Primera B on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn. San Marcos de Arica are 6th with 43 points from 29 games (in the top half), while Deportes Copiapo sit 8th on 41 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
San Marcos de Arica's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Cobreloa 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Deportes Copiapo's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Antofagasta 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Deportes Copiapo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for San Marcos de Arica and 0.8 for Deportes Copiapo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Marcos de Arica 60%, draw 22%, Deportes Copiapo 18%.
Safer route: San Marcos de Arica or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: San Marcos de Arica to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was San Marcos de Arica or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: San Marcos de Arica 1–0 Deportes Copiapo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Marcos de Arica60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Deportes Copiapo18%fair 5.61 · @4.00
2.52Expected goals
1.72San Marcos de Arica xG
0.80Deportes Copiapo xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: San Marcos de Arica 1.7 – 0.8 Deportes Copiapo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Marcos de Arica to win✓
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Double chance
San Marcos de Arica or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Marcos de Arica / FT San Marcos de Arica✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.22
–
Form
San Marcos de Arica – last 6
LLLLDL
1 Sep
@ Cobreloa
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Rangers de Talca
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ Union Espanola
1–2
L
13 Aug
vs Union San Felipe
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Santiago Wanderers
1–1
D
6 Aug
@ Coquimbo Unido
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportes Copiapo – last 6
LLWLDW
30 Aug
vs Antofagasta
0–4
L
22 Aug
@ Recoleta
1–2
L
17 Aug
vs Curico Unido
4–0
W
14 Aug
@ Deportes Iquique
0–4
L
9 Aug
vs San Luis
1–1
D
4 Aug
@ Deportes Temuco
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Marcos de Arica and Deportes Copiapo.
What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Copiapo?
Our pick is San Marcos de Arica or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Copiapo?
On our numbers San Marcos de Arica have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportes Copiapo 18%.
How many goals will there be in San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Copiapo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Copiapo?
Our predicted score is San Marcos de Arica 1–0 Deportes Copiapo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Copiapo?
San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Copiapo (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
