Recoleta travel to Estadio Bicentenario La Granja in the Primera B on Sunday 30 August (22:30 WAT) to face Curico Unido. Curico Unido are 13th with 34 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Recoleta sit 7th on 42 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Curico Unido's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Union San Felipe 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Recoleta's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to O'Higgins 1–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Curico Unido and 1.4 for Recoleta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Curico Unido 1–1 Recoleta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Curico Unido37%fair 2.70 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.35
Recoleta40%fair 2.49 · @2.62
2.71Expected goals
1.32Curico Unido xG
1.39Recoleta xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Curico Unido 1.3 – 1.4 Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Recoleta to win✗
40%
2.49
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Recoleta / FT Recoleta✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.81
–
Form
Curico Unido – last 6
WLLDWD
24 Aug
vs Union San Felipe
2–0
W
17 Aug
@ Deportes Copiapo
0–4
L
14 Aug
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Rangers de Talca
0–0
D
5 Aug
@ Universidad de Concepcion
3–1
W
1 Aug
vs Cobreloa
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Recoleta – last 6
LWDWDL
27 Aug
vs O'Higgins
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Deportes Copiapo
2–1
W
18 Aug
@ Deportes Temuco
1–1
D
12 Aug
vs Rangers de Talca
4–2
W
8 Aug
@ Union San Felipe
0–0
D
2 Aug
vs D. Puerto Montt
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Curico Unido and Recoleta.
What is the prediction for Curico Unido vs Recoleta?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Curico Unido vs Recoleta?
On our numbers Curico Unido have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Recoleta 40%.
How many goals will there be in Curico Unido vs Recoleta?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Curico Unido vs Recoleta?
Our predicted score is Curico Unido 1–1 Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Curico Unido vs Recoleta?
Curico Unido vs Recoleta (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario La Granja.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
