Curico Unido vs Union San Felipe prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Curico Unido or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Curico Unido to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCurico Unido to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chanceCurico Unido or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.24
Curico Unido vs Union San Felipe preview and prediction
The match
Curico Unido host Union San Felipe in the Primera B on Monday 24 August, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Bicentenario La Granja. Curico Unido are 13th with 34 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Union San Felipe sit 15th on 23 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Curico Unido's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Deportes Copiapo 0–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Union San Felipe's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Cobreloa 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Curico Unido and 0.8 for Union San Felipe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Curico Unido 63%, draw 20%, Union San Felipe 18%.
Safer route: Curico Unido or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Curico Unido to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Curico Unido or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Curico Unido 1–0 Union San Felipe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Curico Unido63%fair 1.60 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.30
Union San Felipe18%fair 5.68 · @3.60
2.55Expected goals
1.77Curico Unido xG
0.78Union San Felipe xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Curico Unido 1.8 – 0.8 Union San Felipe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Curico Unido to win✓
63%
1.60
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Curico Unido or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Curico Unido ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Curico Unido / FT Curico Unido✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.24
–
Form
Curico Unido – last 6
LLDWDL
17 Aug
@ Deportes Copiapo
0–4
L
14 Aug
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Rangers de Talca
0–0
D
5 Aug
@ Universidad de Concepcion
3–1
W
1 Aug
vs Cobreloa
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs San Luis
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Union San Felipe – last 6
LWDLLL
16 Aug
vs Cobreloa
0–1
L
13 Aug
@ San Marcos de Arica
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Recoleta
0–0
D
5 Aug
vs Universidad de Chile
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Antofagasta
1–5
L
25 Jul
@ Santiago Wanderers
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Curico Unido and Union San Felipe.
What is the prediction for Curico Unido vs Union San Felipe?
Our pick is Curico Unido or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Curico Unido vs Union San Felipe?
On our numbers Curico Unido have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Union San Felipe 18%.
How many goals will there be in Curico Unido vs Union San Felipe?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Curico Unido vs Union San Felipe?
Our predicted score is Curico Unido 1–0 Union San Felipe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Curico Unido vs Union San Felipe?
Curico Unido vs Union San Felipe (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario La Granja.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
