Value bet: Deportes Santa Cruz to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCurico Unido to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.70
Curico Unido vs Deportes Santa Cruz preview and prediction
The match
Curico Unido host Deportes Santa Cruz in the Primera B on Friday 14 August, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Bicentenario La Granja. Curico Unido are 13th with 34 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Deportes Santa Cruz sit 14th on 24 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Curico Unido's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with Rangers de Talca 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Deportes Santa Cruz's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with D. Puerto Montt 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Deportes Santa Cruz 4–2 Curico Unido.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Curico Unido and 1.2 for Deportes Santa Cruz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Deportes Santa Cruz to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Curico Unido 1–1 Deportes Santa Cruz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Curico Unido43%fair 2.31 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Deportes Santa Cruz35%fair 2.88 · @3.10
2.60Expected goals
1.39Curico Unido xG
1.21Deportes Santa Cruz xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Curico Unido 1.4 – 1.2 Deportes Santa Cruz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Curico Unido vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Curico Unido vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
On our numbers Curico Unido have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportes Santa Cruz 35%.
How many goals will there be in Curico Unido vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Curico Unido vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Our predicted score is Curico Unido 1–1 Deportes Santa Cruz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Curico Unido vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Curico Unido vs Deportes Santa Cruz (Primera B) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario La Granja.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
