Value bet: Union Espanola to win @ 1.67 – our chance 65% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Espanola to win ✗65% · @1.67
Double chanceUnion Espanola or draw ✓87% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Union Espanola vs Union San Felipe preview and prediction
The match
Union Espanola host Union San Felipe in the Primera B on Tuesday 9 June, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK. Union Espanola are 9th with 39 points from 29 games (in the bottom half), while Union San Felipe sit 15th on 23 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Union Espanola's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Santiago Wanderers 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Union San Felipe's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat D. Puerto Montt 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Union Espanola and 0.7 for Union San Felipe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Espanola 65%, draw 23%, Union San Felipe 13%.
Safer route: Union Espanola or draw (87%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Union Espanola to win at 1.67 – 65% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Union Espanola 2–0 Union San Felipe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Espanola65%fair 1.54 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.60
Union San Felipe13%fair 7.91 · @4.50
2.67Expected goals
1.93Union Espanola xG
0.74Union San Felipe xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Union Espanola 1.9 – 0.7 Union San Felipe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Espanola to win✗
65%
1.54
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Union Espanola or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.36
Half-time result
Union Espanola ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Espanola / FT Union Espanola✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.48
–
Form
Union Espanola – last 6
DLWWDD
30 May
@ Santiago Wanderers
2–2
D
26 May
@ Deportes Copiapo
1–3
L
19 May
vs Deportes Iquique
2–1
W
1 May
vs Curico Unido
2–0
W
18 Apr
@ Rangers de Talca
1–1
D
11 Apr
vs Cobreloa
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Union San Felipe – last 6
WLLWDL
30 May
vs D. Puerto Montt
1–0
W
24 May
@ Deportes Temuco
0–5
L
4 May
@ San Luis
0–4
L
19 Apr
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
3–1
W
23 Mar
vs San Marcos de Arica
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Recoleta
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Espanola and Union San Felipe.
What is the prediction for Union Espanola vs Union San Felipe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Union Espanola vs Union San Felipe?
On our numbers Union Espanola have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Union San Felipe 13%.
How many goals will there be in Union Espanola vs Union San Felipe?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Espanola vs Union San Felipe?
Our predicted score is Union Espanola 2–0 Union San Felipe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Union Espanola vs Union San Felipe?
Union Espanola vs Union San Felipe (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
